城市系统工程研究:演化、控制与博弈的方法

目的系统科学与复杂性科学为城市发展研究提供了新的机遇,为此提出城市系统工程的命题及其研究框架。方法采用适应性元胞自动机模型、系统评价与调控及博弈分析的方法,分别研究了城市增长仿真、城市经济环境系统管理及城市社会稳定的问题。结果基于适应性元胞自动机模型的城市增长仿真,反映了城市化的客观规律;面向协调的城市经济环境系统管理模型,提供了系统管理的调控变量;城市社会稳定的博弈分析,则给出了城市制度建设的途径和方向。结论城市系统工程研究框架及其技术路线具有可行性,能为城市发展提供有效的决策支持。

A study on urban systems engineering: Techniques of evolution, control and game

Aim System science and complex science provide a new opportunity for urban development research.For this reason,the proposition and research frame of Urban Systems Engineering(USE) are put forward.Methods Problems of urban growth simulation,urban economy-environment system management and urban social stability are in turn researched by applying methods of adaptive cellular automaton(CA) model,system evaluation and control,and game analysis respectively.Results Urban simulation based on adaptive CA model reflects rules of urbanization.Coordination-oriented management model of urban economy-environment system offers control variables for system management.Game analysis of urban social stability gives aims and ways for urban institution building.Conclusion The frame and techniques of USE research proposed here are feasible and can offer effective decision support for urban development.