| 城市年用水量的马尔可夫过程仿真预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 曹萍.城市年用水量的马尔可夫过程仿真预测[J].西安科技大学学报,2001,21(4):333-336. |
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| 作者姓名： | 曹萍 |
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| 作者单位： | 西安科技学院,建筑工程系, |
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| 摘 要： | 城市年用水量是一个齐次马尔可夫链.根据某城市统计年鉴中近20 a的用水量,建立一步转移概率矩阵,通过马尔可夫链的计算机仿真,预测了今后5 a的用水量.同时,对仿真结果进行了精度估计.
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| 关 键 词： | 城市用水量 计算机仿真 马尔可夫链 预测 |
| 文章编号： | 1671-1912(2001)04-0333-04 |
| 修稿时间： | 2001年5月8日 |
Computer simulation forecast of Markov process for city's yearly water consumption |
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| CAO Ping.Computer simulation forecast of Markov process for city''''s yearly water consumption[J].JOurnal of XI’an University of Science and Technology,2001,21(4):333-336. |
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| Authors: | CAO Ping |
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| Abstract: | A city's yearly water consumption is a homogeneous Markov chain. According to nearly 20 years' water consumption in a city's statistic yearbook, the paper sets up one step transfer probability matrix and the computer simulation model of Markov chain. By the model, the future 5 years' water consumption is forecasted and its accuracy is estimated. |
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| Keywords: | city's water consumption computer simulation Markov chain forecast |
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