| 矿产品价格的行为特性及其数值模拟分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 张能福,蔡嗣经.矿产品价格的行为特性及其数值模拟分析[J].西安科技大学学报,2008,28(3). |
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| 作者姓名： | 张能福 蔡嗣经 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 五邑大学,管理学院,广东,江门,529020
2. 北京科技大学,土木与环境工程学院,北京,100083 |
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| 摘 要： | 矿产品的价格受到多方面因素的影响,表现为一定的波动性,因而具有一定的不确定性。矿产品价格的不确定性给矿业投资评价带来一定的困难。应用随机过程理论对矿产品价格的运行模式及其随机特性进行了研究,建立了矿产品的短期价格和长期均衡价格的模拟路径。应用蒙特卡洛模拟方法和MATLAB的编程技术,对矿产品的短期运行形态和长期运行形态进行模拟分析。为矿产品价格的预测研究提供一种有效的方法。
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| 关 键 词： | 矿产品价格 随机过程数值分析 模拟 |
Running characteristics and numerical simulation of mineral products price |
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| ZHANG Neng-fu,CAI Si-jing.Running characteristics and numerical simulation of mineral products price[J].JOurnal of XI’an University of Science and Technology,2008,28(3). |
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| Authors: | ZHANG Neng-fu CAI Si-jing |
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| Abstract: | Mineral products price is influenced with many factors,and has presented some of fluctuation and uncertainties.The uncertainties of mineral products price bring in difficulty in the evaluation of mining investments.Based on Stochastic Process Theory,the running process and stochastic characteristics of mineral products price are studied.Using Monte Carlo simulation method and MATLAB programming technology,the simulation route of the short price and the long equilibrium price of mineral products are established,and the short running process and the long running process of mineral products are simulated.The research results provide an effective method for the forecast study of mineral products price. |
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| Keywords: | mineral products price stochastic process numerical analysis simulation |
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