石油项目投资风险多层因素模糊综合评价

石油建设项目的投资受到多层多种风险因素影响,它的外部风险因素包括资源风险、市场风险、金融风险、社会风险、自然风险、经济风险和政治风险。内部可控风险包括完工风险、管理风险、技术风险与人员风险。建立石油建设项目投资风险的综合评价指标体系及权重体系,运用多因素递阶模糊综合评价模型,对风险因素的影响程度及其大小进行量化分析与综合评价,并结合大型油气工程项目进行了实例运算,实现了对石油建设项目投资风险大小程度的科学评价与判断。

MANYOSIDED FACTORS OF FUZZY COMPREHENSIVE EVALUATION ON THE RISK OF THE PETROLEUM PROJECT INVESTMENT

The project investment of the petroleum construction is influenced by many risk factors including the external risks of resources , market , finance , society , nature , economy and policy , and the internal risks of completing a project , administration , technical and human : founding the system of comprehensive evaluation targets and weigh of the petroleum project investment , reasonably using the many factors model of the fuzzycomprehensive evaluation , going on the quantity analysis and comprehensive evaluation about the risk factors , and calculating them which contract with largeOscale petroleum project realizes scientifically evaluation and decision of the risks of the petroleum project investment .