生物反恐体系中应急救援网络协同动力学模型分析

为了应对生物反恐事件发生时对于应急救援物资的紧急需求,以传染病扩散模型作为研究出发点,应用复杂网络理论和协同学理论,建立了紧急救援物资的储备和配送模型,研究了生物反恐体系中应急救援网络的优化问题,并通过计算机模拟仿真分析了传染病扩散网络和应急物流网络之间的协同效应.仿真结果表明,应急救援物资的储备量正比于传染病扩散模型中疫苗接种率,而疫苗接种率以及紧急救援物资的运输时间对控制生物危险源的扩散均有显著的影响.

Analysis of synergetic dynamics model of emergency rescue network in anti-bioterrorism system

To cope with the urgent demand for emergence rescue material when anti-bioterrorism accident occurs,the diffusion model of an epidemic is taken as the research springboard in this paper.The reserve and distribution model for the urgent rescue material is established,and the optimization for the emergency rescue network in the biological antiterrorism system is studied by applying the theory of the complex network and synergetics.The synergetic effect between the network of epidemic diffusion and the network of emergency logistics is analyzed through computer analog simulation.The result shows that the reserve of the emergence rescue material is controlled by vaccine coverage,and the vaccine coverage and transportation time of the emergence rescue material has great influence on controlling the diffusion of the biological risk source.