| 环境恶化与经济衰退的动力学模型 |
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| 引用本文： | 陈六君,毛潭,刘为,方福康.环境恶化与经济衰退的动力学模型[J].北京师范大学学报(自然科学版),2004,40(5):617-622. |
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| 作者姓名： | 陈六君 毛潭 刘为 方福康 |
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| 作者单位： | 北京师范大学系统科学系,100875,北京;北京师范大学系统科学系,100875,北京;北京师范大学系统科学系,100875,北京;北京师范大学系统科学系,100875,北京 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家科技攻关项目，国家自然科学基金 |
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| 摘 要： | 建立了环境经济耦合系统的动力学模型,分析了环境污染引发经济衰退的机制.结果表明:环境恶化和相应的经济损失可能导致经济衰退,并且由于环境系统演化的非线性,在某些情况下,经济衰退可能是难以逆转的.如果进行适当的污染治理投资,则可能改善环境状况,从而避免经济衰退.
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| 关 键 词： | 环境经济系统 环境污染 经济衰退 污染治理投资 |
| 修稿时间： | 2004年2月2日 |
A DYNAMIC MODEL ON ENVIRONMENTAL DEGRADATION AND ECONOMIC RECESSION |
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| Chen Liujun,Mao Tan,Liu Wei,Fang Fukang.A DYNAMIC MODEL ON ENVIRONMENTAL DEGRADATION AND ECONOMIC RECESSION[J].Journal of Beijing Normal University(Natural Science),2004,40(5):617-622. |
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| Authors: | Chen Liujun Mao Tan Liu Wei Fang Fukang |
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| Abstract: | A dynamic model on the co-evolution of environmental and economic system is developed to analyze the mechanism of economic recession due to environmental pollution. The results reveal that economic recession could result from environmental degradation with the related economic loss. With the nonlinearity of environmental system, the economic recession could be irreversible under some given parameters. However, environmental conditions could be ameliorated and thus economic recession could be avoided by pollution abatement investment. |
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| Keywords: | environmental economic system environmental pollution economic recession pollution abatement investment |
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