寻求“塔勒布超越”：常态化疫情防控与科技型企业可持续成长——来自南京1907家高新技术企业的经验证据

 如何在疫情冲击下保持成长韧性，并从危机中寻求弯道超越，成为后疫情时代科技型企业可持续、高质量发展的重要议题。选取南京1907家高新技术企业，从常态化疫情防控对科技型企业的影响程度、现实困境及政策诉求等多视角对重大突发卫生事件的现实和潜在影响进行了全面梳理和深层次分析。调研结果表明：（1）52.44%的科技型企业明显受到影响，营收业绩下滑是主要挑战，新产品开发成为创新活动最大壁垒；（2）经营上，科技型企业销售经营招人难、用人贵成为首要制约因素，财务风险普遍较高。研发上，存在科技人才贵、引进人才难，数字化智能化转型的自救措施尚未受到足够重视以及创新产品推广的市场开拓成本高昂等困境；（3）常态化疫情防控下科技型企业的政策诉求在于政府扶持政策作用的充分释放还存在缓冲期，91.14%的企业希望加大研发费用补贴。提出建议，常态化疫情精准防控过程中还应创新科技型企业培育和引才方式，加强产学研合作和技术攻关；相应地，构建高新技术领域动态监测和科技风险预警体系，强化科技安全；同时，科技体制机制改革需要加快数字政府和科技创新环境建设，推动科技创新治理体系和治理能力现代化。

Seeking"Taleb Surpass":Normalization of infection prevention and control of COVID-19 and sustainable growth of technology companies——Empirical evidence from 1907 high technology enterprises in Nanjing

To achieve the sustainable and high-quality development in the post-epidemic era, it is an important issue for science and technology enterprises to maintain the growth resilience. This paper selects 1907 high-tech enterprises in Nanjing, and in multiple perspectives (e. g., the impact extent, the realistic dilemmas, the policy demands of the normalization of the infection prevention, and the control of COVID-19 in science and technology enterprises) analyzes the actual and potential impacts of the PHEIC. Survey results show that (1) 52.44% science and technology enterprises are deeply affected by the crisis, with the declining revenue as the major challenge and the adverse impact on the new product development as the main barrier for the innovation. (2) In terms of operation, the development of science and technology enterprises is mainly limited by the recruitment of talents, which also leads to the high financial risk. In terms of research and development, the dilemmas appear due to the difficulty in the talent recruitment, the lack of self-help measures in the digitalization and the intelligent transformation, and the high costs of marketing innovative products. (3) There also exists a buffer period for the government's support policies to be fully implemented, which makes the policy demands of the science and technology enterprises unsatisfied. 91.14% of enterprises expect an increase in R&D subsidies. We propose that in the process of the normalization of the epidemic prevention and control, the ways of cultivating and attracting talents for technology enterprises should be updated, and the cooperation of industry, university and research institute should be strengthened. Correspondingly, it is significant to build a dynamic monitoring and technology risk early warning system in the high-tech field f the technology security. Meanwhile, in the reform of the science and technology systems and mechanisms, it is necessary to speed up the construction of the digital government and the scientific and technological innovation environment to promote the science and technology innovation governance system and to modernize the governance capacity.