基于亚太地区类SARS传染性疾病流行情景的供应链风险识别

供应链风险识别是指识别影响供应链运行、造成供应链脆弱性的不确定因素的过程。分析了供应链风险的形成过程,提出了包括供应链背景设定,风险因素识别,情景开发,供应链薄弱环节识别,风险组合构建、优化和评估的基于情景分析的供应链风险识别流程,并对总部位于英国的A公司进行了当亚太地区出现类似SARS的传染性疾病流行的情景时,其全球供应链风险的识别。最后对进一步的研究进行了展望。

Identifying Supply Chain Risk Based on Scenario Analysis

The identification of supply chain risk refers to the process of identifying uncertain factors influencing on SC operation and make it vulnerable. This article analyzes the forming process of supply chain risk, proposes the identifying process of Sc risk including background about Sc, identification of risk factors, scenario development, identification of vulnerability in Sc and risk portfolio, optimization and assessment. Its case study is about company A, which based in the Great Britain. In the case of contagion of disease similar to the SARS epidemic in Asia and Pacific Ocean in 2003, would it how to identify its global supply chain risk. In the end, the paper prospects the further study.