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汽车驾驶人可靠性量化方法
引用本文:喻丹,吴义虎,李佳佳,成海涛.汽车驾驶人可靠性量化方法[J].长沙理工大学学报(自然科学版),2009,6(4):52-58.
作者姓名:喻丹  吴义虎  李佳佳  成海涛
作者单位:1. 长沙理工大学,交通运输工程学院,湖南,长沙,410004;长沙理工大学,道路灾变防治及交通安全教育部工程研究中心,湖南,长沙,410004
2. 长沙理工大学,交通运输工程学院,湖南,长沙,410004
基金项目:湖南省自然科学基金,交通部应用基础研究项目,湖南省教育厅科研项目 
摘    要:基于可靠性工程理论,提出了一种用“可靠度”表征驾驶人可靠性量化结果的方法.该方法由驾驶人反应时间推算差错率.并从驾驶人行为致因理论出发,为处于不同行车阶段的驾驶人筛选不同的可靠性影响因子.仿真结果表明,该量化方法不仅能统计分析驾驶人可靠度,还能描述可靠度与时间的变化关系.分析各影响因子和可靠度的关系.为安全行车提供可行建议.

关 键 词:交通工程  驾驶人可靠性  可信度  差错率  影响因子

Quantitative method about driver reliability
YU Dan,WU Yi-hu,LI Jia-jia,CHENG Hai-tao.Quantitative method about driver reliability[J].Journal of Changsha University of Science and Technology:Natural Science,2009,6(4):52-58.
Authors:YU Dan  WU Yi-hu  LI Jia-jia  CHENG Hai-tao
Institution:1. School of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, Changsha University of Science and Technology, Changsha 410004 ,China; 2. Traffic Safety Education Department Engineering Research Center, Changsha University of Science and Technology, Changsha 410004 ,China)
Abstract:A new quantification method on transience reliability for drivers is proposed by a new definition "confidence degree", whose error rate is calculated by the response time of drivers, and the influence factors of reliability for drivers in different running stage are analyzed in the paper based on Behavior-causing Theory. The simulation results show that the new method could not only statiscally analyze the reliability but also describe the relationship between reliability and time and it could analyze the influence factors to influence the transience reliability degree. And some advices for driving safely are given.
Keywords:traffic engineering  reliability of drivers  confidence degree  error rate  influ- ence factors
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