南北方老年人出行链选择行为对比

为研究中国南北方老年人出行行为之间的差异,以老年人出行链为研究对象,将老年人出行链分为简单出行链和复杂出行链两种基本形式.基于北方城市东营市2011年的居民出行调查数据和南方城市恩平市2013年的居民出行调查数据,运用二项Logit模型对南北方老年人出行链选择行为进行建模分析,同时考虑个人属性、家庭属性以及出行链属性对老年人出行链选择的影响.模型分析结果表明,个人属性均对南北方老年人出行链选择影响不显著,出行链的出行时间对老年人选择简单出行链产生负影响,家庭月收入、家庭是否拥有小汽车对老年人复杂出行链选择产生负影响,家庭是否拥有自行车对北方老年人简单出行链选择产生正影响.

Comparison of the elderly trip chain choice behavior in the south and the north of China

In order to study the differences of the elderly travel behavior between the south and the north of China, the elderly trip chain is selected as the research object .The trip chain is divided into simple trip chain and complex one. Using the survey data of the resident trip of the northern city named Dongying in 2011 and the southern city named Enping in 2013, binary logit model is developed to analyze the elderly trip chain choice behavior. The influences of the personal attributes, family attributes and trip chain attributes are analyzed. The results show that the personal attributes have no significant effect on the elderly trip chain choice behavior. The travel time has negative effect on the simple chain. The family income and the private car also have negative effects on the complex trip chain. However, whether the family has a bicycle has positive effect on the simple chain.