| 黄浦江口氯化物预报公式的初步探讨 |
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| 引用本文： | 茅志昌,周纪芗,沈焕庭.黄浦江口氯化物预报公式的初步探讨[J].上海师范大学学报(自然科学版),1987(1). |
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| 作者姓名： | 茅志昌 周纪芗 沈焕庭 |
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| 作者单位： | 河口海岸研究所，华东师范大学数理统计系，河口海岸研究所 |
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| 摘 要： | 黄浦江是上海人民生活和生产的主要水源,咸水入侵会影响黄浦江水质,给上海带来很大的危害。本文在分析黄浦江咸水入侵规律的基础上,利用吴淞水厂1973～1979年的实测资料,选取枯季月瞬时最大氯化物值为因变量,运用多元逐步回归及相合非参数回归方法,建立了黄浦江口的氯化物预报公式,取得了比较满意的结果。
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| 关 键 词： | 黄浦江 咸水入侵 相合非参数 氯化物 |
A preliminary Study on Chloride Prediction Formula for the Mouth of Huangpu River |
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| MAO ZHICHANG.A preliminary Study on Chloride Prediction Formula for the Mouth of Huangpu River[J].Journal of Shanghai Normal University(Natural Sciences),1987(1). |
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| Authors: | MAO ZHICHANG |
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| Institution: | MAO ZHICHANG (Institute of Estuarine and Coastal Research) ZHOU JIXIANG(Department of Mathematical Statistics) SHEN HUANTING (Institute of Estuarine and Coastal Research) |
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| Abstract: | Huangpu River is the main water source in Shanghai. The salt water intrusion has brought about severe consequence. Based on data derived from the measurements done by the Wusong Waterworks during the period from 1973 to 1979, the monthly maximum chloride values in the dry seasons were chosen as dependent variables. The chloride prediction formula for the mouth of Huangpu River was established with methods of stepwise regression and eonsistent nonparametric regression.The calculated results indicated that the prediction values were in good agreement with observations. |
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| Keywords: | Huangpu River salt water intrusion consistent nonparameter chloride |
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