| 综合运输体系与区域经济互动影响的系统动力学模型 |
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| 引用本文： | 董敏,郭子坚,唐国磊,张茜.综合运输体系与区域经济互动影响的系统动力学模型[J].大连海事大学学报(自然科学版),2010(4). |
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| 作者姓名： | 董敏 郭子坚 唐国磊 张茜 |
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| 作者单位： | 大连理工大学建设工程学部;中交水运规划设计院; |
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| 基金项目： | 大连市科技计划项目(2007D10ZC228) |
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| 摘 要： | 为定量分析综合运输体系与区域经济之间的互动影响,运用系统动力学原理,建立综合运输体系与区域经济互动影响的系统动力学模型,包括因果关系图、流图和模型参数等,并将其应用于大连市综合运输体系与区域经济的互动影响分析中.根据已有相关历史数据,验证模型的有效性;通过运行模型,定量分析大连市以及辽宁省经济主要影响变量的变化趋势,从而获得大连市综合运输体系对该市及辽宁省经济的影响,为政府合理建设综合运输体系和发展区域经济提供导向.
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| 关 键 词： | 综合运输体系 区域经济 系统动力学 互动影响 |
A system-dynamics based model for the interaction between comprehensive transportation system and district economy |
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| DONG Min,GUO Zijian,TANG Guolei,ZHANG Qian.A system-dynamics based model for the interaction between comprehensive transportation system and district economy[J].Journal of Dalian Maritime University,2010(4). |
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| Authors: | DONG Min GUO Zijian TANG Guolei ZHANG Qian |
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| Institution: | DONG Min1,GUO Zijian1,TANG Guolei1,ZHANG Qian2(1.Faculty of Infrastructure Engineering,Dalian University of Technology,Dalian 116023,China,2.China Communications Water Transportation Planning , Design Institute Co.Ltd.,Beijing 100007,China) |
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| Abstract: | A system-dynamics model including causal graph,flow graph and parameters,etc between comprehensive transportation system and district economy was built to quantitatively analyse the interaction between them,and it was applied correspondingly in Dalian.Base on the historical statistics data,the model feasibility was validated.The change trend of the key economic variables of Dalian city and Liaoning province was analyzed quantitatively by running the model,and the interaction of Dalian comprehensive transpor... |
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| Keywords: | comprehensive transportation system district economy system dynamics interaction |
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