| 基于线性回归的河南管“十二五”时期GDP预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 吕海燕,李海旺,张云峰.基于线性回归的河南管“十二五”时期GDP预测[J].河南科学,2011,29(10):1241-1244. |
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| 作者姓名： | 吕海燕 李海旺 张云峰 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 河南农业大学信息与管理科学学院,郑州,450002
2. 河南工业大学粮油食品学院,郑州,450002 |
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| 基金项目： | 河南农业大学博士科研启动基金:品种群体多QTL定位新方法探究(30300165) |
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| 摘 要： | 以河南省1978-2009年GDP指数(1952年为100)和人均GDP指数为基础,运用一元线性回归方法建模,对“十二五”期间GDP指数和人均GDP指数进行预测.结果显示,1978-2009年GDP指数和人均GDP指数的预测值与真实值基本相符,“十二五”期间GDP指数和人均GDP指数预测值也与经济发展趋势非常吻合.
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| 关 键 词： | 一元线性回归 国内生产总值 人均国内生产总值 |
GDP Forecast Based on Linear Regression in the Period of Henan Twelfth Five-Years Plan |
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| LV Haiyan,Li Haiwang,Zhang Yunfeng.GDP Forecast Based on Linear Regression in the Period of Henan Twelfth Five-Years Plan[J].Henan Science,2011,29(10):1241-1244. |
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| Authors: | LV Haiyan Li Haiwang Zhang Yunfeng |
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| Institution: | LV Haiyan 1,Li Haiwang 2,Zhang Yunfeng 1 (1.College of Information and Management Henan Agriculture University,Zhengzhou 450002,China,2.Grain and Food College Henan University of Technology,China) |
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| Abstract: | The GDP and per capita GDP in the period of Henan Twelfth Five-years Plan have been predicted using l inear regression modeling method based on the GDP index(1952 is 100)and per capita GDP index of Henan Province from 1978 to 2009.The result demonstrated that the predicted GDP and per capita GDP of Henan Province from 1978 to 2009 were close to the real value,and the predicted GDP and per capita GDP in the period of Henan Twelfth Five-years Plan roughly coincided with the trends of economic development. |
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| Keywords: | linear regression GDP per capita GDP |
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