河南省旅游业发展因素的实证研究——基于18个省辖市的面板数据

基于2007—2011年18个省辖市旅游业发展的相关数据,建立旅游业发展与各项影响因素面板数据模型.结果表明:制约旅游业发展水平的主要因素有产业结构、人均GDP、城镇人口、旅游资源禀赋.其中,第三产业比重和人均GDP对旅游业发展的正向影响最大,第三产业比重增加1%,则旅游总收入增加1.409%;人均GDP增加1%,则旅游总收入增加1.282%.旅游业发展水平呈现出不平衡性,这可能和河南省各城市的区位因素、基础交通设施、服务设施、城市文化底蕴和景点知名度有关.从实际情况来看,较差的交通条件严重制约旅游经济发展,针对这种情况,可以采取公路专线运营,来降低游客的旅游成本和乘车时间,提高效率.

Henan Tourism Development Factors of Empirical Research ---Based on Panel Data of 18 Cities

From current situation of the development of tourism industry in Henan Province,based on the development of tourism in 18 cities during 2007--2011, tourism development and the various factors affecting the panel data model is set up. The results show that the main factors of restricting the development level of tourism economic development structure include the per capita GDP, urban population,tourism resources endowment. Among them,the proportion of the tertiary industry and GDP per person mostly influenced the development of tourism. The proportion of the tertiary industry increased 1%, the tourism revenue increased by 1.409%,while the per capita GDP increased 1%,the tourism revenue increased by 1.282%. Tourism development level presents imbalance,which may result from the difference of regional factors, transport infrastructure and service facilities, city culture and scenic popularity in cities of Henan Province. From the actual situation, poor traffic conditions severely restrict the tourism economy development. For this kind of circumstance, taking highway line operation might reduce the passenger travel costs and transportation time, and improve efficiency.