| 基于人口红利视角下的老龄化与经济增长研究——以陕西省为例 |
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| 引用本文： | 陈会星,李开宇,徐欢,李璨.基于人口红利视角下的老龄化与经济增长研究——以陕西省为例[J].河南科学,2014(11):2418-2422. |
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| 作者姓名： | 陈会星 李开宇 徐欢 李璨 |
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| 作者单位： | 西安外国语大学,西安,710061 |
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| 基金项目： | 教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金(10YJAZH041)；国家社科基金项目西部项目(13XSH017)；西安外国语大学研究生科研基金项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 在探讨陕西省人口老龄化现状与经济增长因素的基础上,选择储蓄、人口结构比重、经济增长率作为研究指标,利用陕西省1990—2013年相关统计数据,对陕西省人口结构、储蓄与经济增长关系进行了ADF检验和Johansen模型分析.研究结果表明:陕西省人口老龄化水平与储蓄有着较显著的负线性关系,经济发展与人口老龄化水平呈显著负相关,老龄化的加剧不利于人口红利的实现和经济发展水平的提高.
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| 关 键 词： | 人口红利 老龄化 经济增长 人口结构 储蓄 |
Research on Aging and Economic Growth Based on the Angle of Demographic Dividend--A Case Study of Shaanxi |
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| Chen Huixing,Li Kaiyu,Xu Huan,Li Can.Research on Aging and Economic Growth Based on the Angle of Demographic Dividend--A Case Study of Shaanxi[J].Henan Science,2014(11):2418-2422. |
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| Authors: | Chen Huixing Li Kaiyu Xu Huan Li Can |
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| Institution: | (Xi＇an International Studies University, Xi＇an 710061, China) |
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| Abstract: | On the basis of an aging population＇s present situation and the economic growth,we chose savings,theproportion of population structure,and economic growth rate as the research targets. Based on the relevant statisticsfrom 1990 to 2013 in Shaanxi Province,we made a ADF test and analysis of Johansen model for its populationstructure,savings and economic growth. This research shows that population aging level has a significantly negativelinear relationship with savings to Shaanxi Province,and the level of economic development and aging has significantlynegative correlation. Speeding of aging,is not conducive to the realization of the demographic dividend and thedevelopment of economic. |
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| Keywords: | demographic dividend aging economic growth population structure savings |
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