基于偏离份额与灰色关联分析的河南入境旅游产业结构研究

运用偏离份额法和灰色关联分析法,基于河南1999—2010年入境旅游产业部门数据,分1999—2005年、2005—2010年两个阶段对河南省入境旅游产业结构各部门的竞争力进行了研究,并分析了入境旅游产业各部门外汇收入与入境旅游总收入之间的关联度.结果表明:各个阶段河南入境旅游产业结构总体竞争力较好,发展速度高于全国平均水平,但两阶段产业结构效果指数较低,产业结构配置不合理.各产业部门中,长途交通、住宿与商品销售具有部门整体优势,整体竞争力强;饮食、游览和其他服务等部门竞争力较强;娱乐、邮电通讯、市内交通竞争力最弱.游览、住宿、其他服务、长途交通、商品销售等部门与入境旅游收入关联度强;饮食、邮电通讯、娱乐、市内交通部门与入境旅游收入关联度弱.

Research on Industrial Structure of Inbound Tourism in Henan Province Based on Shift-share and Grey-relation Analysis

By means of shift-share method and grey-relation analysis,we researched the structure competition of the inbound tourism industry in Henan Province during 1999—2005 and 2005—2010,and then analyzed the connection between different section income and gross income of the inbound tourism industry in Henan Province.The results show that Henan have a better competitiveness and the development levels of inbound tourism industry faster than that of the national average.But the index of the industrial structure is lower,and the industrial structure have an irrational realaion.The industrial sector,long-distance traffic,accommodation and merchandise sales departments have the overall advantage and competition;other service,food,tours departments have more competition;post and urban transport have lowest competition.Accommodation,long-distance traffic,tours and other service has the highest correlation,while entertainment,post,food and ruban transport have the lowest correlation.