| “平移序列”的灰色预测模型及其在国庆黄金周中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 葛菊红,化存才.“平移序列”的灰色预测模型及其在国庆黄金周中的应用[J].云南大学学报(自然科学版),2006(Z1). |
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| 作者姓名： | 葛菊红 化存才 |
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| 作者单位： | 云南师范大学数学学院 云南师范大学数学学院 云南昆明 云南昆明 |
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| 摘 要： | 结合原始灰色预测模型GM(1,1)和灰色系统理论中平移序列,给出了“平移序列”的灰色预测模型,它具有数据光滑度好,预测精度较高的优点.利用此模型对2003年和2005年云南省国庆黄金周接待游客人数做出了精度较高的灰色预测.
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| 关 键 词： | 灰色预测模型 平移序列 国庆黄金周 |
Grey prediction model of translation sequences and applications to the Traveling Week of National Day |
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| GE Ju-hong,Hua Cun-cai.Grey prediction model of translation sequences and applications to the Traveling Week of National Day[J].Journal of Yunnan University(Natural Sciences),2006(Z1). |
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| Authors: | GE Ju-hong Hua Cun-cai |
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| Abstract: | A grey prediction model of translation sequences is given by combining the orginal grey prediction model(GM(1,1)) and the translation sequences in grey system theory.It has advantages of smooth degree of data and a good precision.The grey prediction model is applied to obtain high precision for the tourists in Yunnan Province during the Traveling Week of National Day in 2003 and 2005. |
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| Keywords: | grey prediction model translation sequences Travelling Week of National Day |
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