我国铜资源供给风险识别及分析研究

从风险理论视角出发,对我国铜资源供给风险概念内涵及管理过程中的风险识别和风险分析过程进行研究。通过风险识别建立我国铜资源供给风险清单,并通过风险分析建立铜资源供给风险矩阵,描述我国铜资源供给风险情况。根据风险矩阵,2013年我国铜资源供给风险较高,主要原因是其在经济中的重要性较高。此外,资源供给国的社会发展情况和环境规制情况也对我国铜资源供给产生较大的影响,而政治和经济环境导致的风险相对较低。

Copper Supply Risk Identification and Analysis Study in China

The paper focuses on the study of the copper supply risk conception and the process of risk identification and analysis in risk management, based on the risk theory. The authors establish a list of China copper supply risk through risk identification, and build up copper supply risk matrix through risk analysis. Based on the risk matrix, the copper supply risk is at a higher level in 2013. The reason is the importance of copper resources in the economy is higher, thus expanding the copper resources supply risk. In addition, social development and environmental regulation of supplying countries also have a great impact on China's copper supply, yet the political risk and economic risk is relatively moderate.