| 中国淘汰短链氯化石蜡的社会经济影响评价 |
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| 引用本文： | 余梦琪,王梓元,王滢,徐淳,张剑波.中国淘汰短链氯化石蜡的社会经济影响评价[J].北京大学学报(自然科学版),2017,53(4). |
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| 作者姓名： | 余梦琪 王梓元 王滢 徐淳 张剑波 |
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| 作者单位： | 北京大学环境科学与工程学院, 区域环境质量协同创新中心, 环境模拟与污染控制国家重点联合实验室, 北京100871;环境保护部环境保护对外合作中心,北京,100035 |
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| 基金项目： | 环保公益性行业科研专项 |
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| 摘 要： | 利用成本效益分析法,设置5年和10年淘汰情景,对中国淘汰短链氯化石蜡(SCCPs)的成本和效益进行分析。淘汰SCCPs的成本为181.1~308.8亿元,主要来自下游行业替代损失,5年淘汰情景的成本低于10年淘汰情景;中国淘汰SCCPs的收益为1462.6亿元,建议采用5年淘汰情景淘汰SCCPs。
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| 关 键 词： | 短链氯化石蜡 社会经济影响评价 成本效益分析 |
Socio-economic Impact Assessment of Phasing out SCCPs in China |
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| YU Mengqi,WANG Ziyuan,WANG Ying,XU Chun,ZHANG Jianbo.Socio-economic Impact Assessment of Phasing out SCCPs in China[J].Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis,2017,53(4). |
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| Authors: | YU Mengqi WANG Ziyuan WANG Ying XU Chun ZHANG Jianbo |
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| Abstract: | The costs and benefits of phasing out short chain chlorinated paraffins (SCCPs) in China were analyzed under the 5-year and 10-year control scenarios by cost benefit analysis. The cost of phasing out SCCPs was 18.11 to 30.88 billion yuan, mainly from the substitution in downstream industries. The cost under the 5-year control scenario was less than the 10-year scenario. The benefit of phasing out SCCPs in China was 146.26 billion yuan. The 5-year control scenario was suggested for phasing out SCCPs. |
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| Keywords: | SCCPs socio-economic impact assessment cost benefit analysis |
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