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Multi-Layer Forecast Project of Rain-Induced Debris Flow
作者姓名:ZHANGJing-hong  WEIFang-qiang  LIUShu-zhen  CUIPeng  ZHONGDun-lun  LIFa-bin  GAOKe-chang
作者单位:[1]InstituteofMountainChineseAcademyofSciences,China;HazardsandEnvironment,Chengdu610041,Sichuan//HainanMeteorologicalandEcologicalAcademy,Haikou570203,Hainan,China [2]InstituteofMountainHazardsandEnvironment,ChineseAcademyofSciences,Chengdu610041,Sichuan,China;
基金项目:SupportedbytheKnowledgeInnovationProgramofChineseAcademyofSciences(KZCX3SW352)andInstituteofMountainHazardsandEnviroment,CAS(C3200307)
摘    要:Based on four kinds of methods--numerical weather prediction model, cloud image of stationary meteorological satellite, echo image of meteorological radar and telemetric rain gauge, multi space-time scale precipitation prediction products have been achieved, and muhidayer project of debris flow forecast is established with different space-time scale to get different forecast precision. The forecast system has the advantages in combination of regions and ravines, rational compounding of time and space scale. The project, which has debris flow forecast models of Sichuan province, Liangshan district and single ravine, can forecast debris flow in 3 layers and meets the demand of hazard mitigation in corresponding layer.

关 键 词:天气预报  数字模型  云层图  人造卫星
收稿时间:18 December 2004

Multi-layer forecast project of rain-induced debris flow
ZHANGJing-hong WEIFang-qiang LIUShu-zhen CUIPeng ZHONGDun-lun LIFa-bin GAOKe-chang.Multi-Layer Forecast Project of Rain-Induced Debris Flow[J].Wuhan University Journal of Natural Sciences,2005,10(4):774-778.
Authors:Zhang Jing-hong  Wei Fang-qiang  Liu Shu-zhen  Cui Peng  Zhong Dun-lun  Li Fa-bin  Gao Ke-chang
Institution:(1) Institute of Mountain Hazards and Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, 610041 Chengdu, Sichuan, China;(2) Hainan Meteorological and Ecological Academy, 570203 Haikou, Hainan, China
Abstract:Based on four kinds of methods—numerical weather prediction model, cloud image of stationary meteorological satellite, echo image of meteorological radar and telemetric rain gauge, multi space-time scale precipitation prediction products have been achieved, and multi-layer project of debris flow forecast is established with different space-time scale to get different forecast precision. The forecast system has the advantages in combination of regions and ravines, rational compounding of time and space scale. The project, which has debris flow forecast models of Sichuan province, Liangshan district and single ravine, can forecast debris flow in 3 layers and meets the demand of hazard mitigation in corresponding layer. Foundation item: Supported by the Knowledge Innovation Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences (KZCX3-SW-352) and Institute of Mountain Hazards and Environment, CAS (C3200307) Biography: ZHANG Jing-hong (1968-), female, Ph. D candidate, research direction: eco-environment and hazards mitigation research.
Keywords:debris flow forecast  precipitation forecast  satellite  radar  telemetric rain gauge  NWP
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