湖南省旅游收入影响因素的实证分析

文章在经济学的理论基础上建立了1993—2008年间的湖南省旅游收入因素的计量模型。通过对旅游收入的多因素分析,建立以旅游收入为因变量,以接待旅游总人数、高速公路里程、省内星级宾馆数以及国内城镇居民人均旅游支出、国内农村居民人均旅游支出等为自变量的多元线性回归模型,并利用模型对影响省内旅游收入因素进行数量化分析,为湖南省以后发展旅游业、增加旅游收入在政策方面提供相关理论依据和参考性意见。

Emprirical Analysis of the Factors Affecting Hunan Province＇s Tourism Revenues

Based on the theory of economics,this paper is designed to establish the measurement mode of the factors affecting tourism revenues of Hunan Province between 1993-2008.Through multi-factor analysis,the multiple linear regression model has been established,with tourism revenues,the total number of tourists,highway mileage,the number of star-rated hotels,domestic tourism spending of urban and rural residents as variables.Making full use of the model of factors,this paper is going to conduct quantitative analysis of the factors and provide revlevant theoretical basis and references for the tourism development of Hunan province.