| 基于灰理论的居民生活电力消费预测研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 吴艳蕾.基于灰理论的居民生活电力消费预测研究[J].安徽工程科技学院学报,2008,23(1):32-34. |
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| 作者姓名： | 吴艳蕾 |
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| 作者单位： | 安徽工程科技学院,应用数理系,安徽,芜湖,241000 |
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| 摘 要： | 介绍了灰理论及GM模型的建模方法,结合我国2000-2005年居民生活电力消费,建立了GM(1,1)预测模型.通过对模型精度及预测值精度的检验,认为该模型具有较高可信度,适用于居民生活电力消费的预测.
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| 关 键 词： | 灰理论 GM模型 电力消费 |
| 文章编号： | 1672-2477(2008)01-0032-03 |
| 修稿时间： | 2007年11月22 |
Study of electricity consumption of daily life based on grey theory |
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| WU Yan-lei.Study of electricity consumption of daily life based on grey theory[J].Journal of Anhui University of Technology and Science,2008,23(1):32-34. |
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| Authors: | WU Yan-lei |
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| Abstract: | This paper introduces the grey theory and the modeling method of GM,and sets up GM(1,1) forecasting model on the basis of electricity consumption of daily life from 2000 to 2005.By analysizing the precision of the model and predicted value,the results show that the model has high reliability and can be used for the forecast of electricity consumption of daily life. |
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| Keywords: | grey theory Grey Model electricity consumption |
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