| 重庆市社会发展水平模糊灰色综合评价及预测分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 张敏,李勇.重庆市社会发展水平模糊灰色综合评价及预测分析[J].重庆工商大学学报(自然科学版),2013(11):25-30,42. |
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| 作者姓名： | 张敏 李勇 |
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| 作者单位： | [1]云南财经大学统计与数学学院,昆明650221 [2]重庆工商大学数学与统计学院,重庆400067 |
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| 基金项目： | 重庆市教委科技项目（KJ120705）;重庆市教育科学规划项目（2012-GX-140）;重庆市教委人文社科项目（13SKH06）. |
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| 摘 要： | 党的“十八大”在强调以经济建设为中心的同时，更是提出加快健全基本公共服务体系，加强和创新社会管理，推动社会主义和谐社会建设；构建和谐社会的核心，在于社会发展水平的监测和预控；基于统计年鉴数据，构建了重庆市社会发展水平的评价指标体系，进行了灰色模糊综合评价，并利用灰色建模进行了预测，以达到对重庆市社会发展水平评价和监测的定量分析。
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| 关 键 词： | 重庆社会发展水平 模糊灰色 预测模型 |
Fuzzy Grey Comprehensive Evaluation and Prediction Analysis of Chongqing＇ s Social Development Level |
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| ZHANG Min,LI Yong.Fuzzy Grey Comprehensive Evaluation and Prediction Analysis of Chongqing＇ s Social Development Level[J].Journal of Chongqing Technology and Business University:Natural Science Edition,2013(11):25-30,42. |
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| Authors: | ZHANG Min LI Yong |
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| Institution: | 2 (1.School of Statistics and Mathematics, Yunnan University of Finance and Economics, Kunming 650221, China;2.School of Mathematics and Statistics, Chongqing Technology and Business University, Chongqing 400067, China) |
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| Abstract: | The 18th National Congress of Chinese Communist Party proposes to accelerate and perfect basic public service system, strengthen and innovate social management and push forward socialism harmonious society construction while highlighting to take economic construction as the center. The key to constructing harmonious society is the monitoring and pre-controlling of social development level. Based on statistical yearbook data, this paper constructs the evaluation index system of Chongqing＇ s social development level, conducts grey fuzzy comprehensive evaluation, and makes prediction by greyly modeling in order to make supervision and quantitative analysis of Chongqing＇ s social development level. |
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| Keywords: | Chongqing＇ s social development level fuzzy grey predicting model |
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