爆炸冲击波对目标群毁伤概率的建模与计算

为了有效毁伤实战中的重点目标群,针对目标群特性进行了分析,并结合目标群的特点,对目标要害部件的等效简化和对冲击波与要害部件的交会进行分析,建立了爆炸冲击波毁伤目标群的概率计算模型.在给定弹道参数、战斗部结构和装药条件下,利用此模型计算了目标群毁伤概率随圆概率偏差、爆炸高度和不同瞄准点等变化的规律,并分析了这些因素对毁伤概率的影响,结果表明爆炸冲击波对目标群的超压毁伤效果显著.计算和分析的结果可为战斗部的优化设计和效能评估提供参考依据.

Analysis and Model for the Kill Probability of Target Groups Damaged by Shock Wave

Characteristics of target groups are studied when damaging upon important target groups in war.On the basis of simplifying the critical components and analyzing the interactive states of shock wave field and critical components,a model for the kill probability of multiple target damaged by shock wave is established according to the characteristics of target groups.Under the condition of fixed ballistic parameters,warhead structure and charge,the law of kill probability of target groups is obtained,which changes with the circle error probability(CEP),height of burst and different aiming point.The effect of these factors on kill probability is analyzed.The results showed that the damage effects from the pressure of shock wave on the target groups are obvious.The results of calculation and analysis can provide useful reference basis for optimized design and efficiency evaluation.