基于IAHP和模糊综合评判的企业安全风险预警系统研究

为有效控制企业安全生产风险，实现安全风险早期预警，基于理论及企业安全管理体系研究，确定了安全风险预警评价指标，采用区间层次分析法（IAHP）计算指标权重，确定了预警监测关键点，并运用模糊综合评判法构建作业现场安全风险预警评价模型与评价思路。研究结果表明：区间层次分析法和模糊综合评判法能够较好地对作业现场安全风险进行评估；该风险预警系统能够实现企业安全风险的量化评估，确定风险预警等级。实例分析结果与实际情况基本相符，表明本文风险预警系统能够为企业安全风险水平的管控提供指导。

An enterprise safety risk early warning system based on an interval analytic hierarchy process (IAHP) and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation

In order to provide early waring of effectively control and enterprise production safety risks, this work determines the safety risk early-warning evaluation indicators based on theoretical research and the safety management system of the enterprise. It adopts the interval analytic hierarchy process (IAHP) to calculate the weight of the indicators and determine the key issues in early-warning monitoring. The fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method is used to construct a safety risk early-warning evaluation model and suggestions for risk assessment of the production site. The results show that: the interval analytic hierarchy process and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method can better evaluate the safety risk of the production site and that the risk early warning system can realize a quantitative assessment of enterprise safety risk, and determine the risk early warning level. The results of the case analysis are in good agreement with the actual situation. Thus the risk early warning system can provide guidance for the management and control of enterprise safety risk levels