| 道路交通安全现代化水平综合评价模型 |
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| 引用本文： | 陈君毅,王宏雁,郁佳文.道路交通安全现代化水平综合评价模型[J].同济大学学报(自然科学版),2010,38(1). |
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| 作者姓名： | 陈君毅 王宏雁 郁佳文 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 同济大学,汽车学院,上海,201804
2. 同济大学,中德学院,上海,200092 |
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| 摘 要： | 在结合事故致因理论和哈顿矩阵的基础上,以层次分析法建立道路交通安全综合评价指标体系,经专家评定获得各指标对其所隶属准则的判断矩阵,并计算出各权重向量和最优权重向量.同时,以道路交通发达国家在其完成第一次道路交通现代化的具体时期内各指标具体数据,通过聚类算法获得现代化评价基准值.采用量化值加权函数法建立评价模型,并得到中国现代化指数随时间历程的变化数据,从而研究中国道路交通安全现代化水平及影响因素,并分析了评价模型的局限性.
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| 关 键 词： | 道路交通安全 现代化 综合评价 层次分析法 量化值加权函数法 聚类算法 |
A Comprehensive Model for Evaluating the Modernization Level of Road Traffic Safety |
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| CHEN Junyi,WANG Hongyan and YU Jiawe.A Comprehensive Model for Evaluating the Modernization Level of Road Traffic Safety[J].Journal of Tongji University(Natural Science),2010,38(1). |
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| Authors: | CHEN Junyi WANG Hongyan and YU Jiawe |
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| Institution: | CHEN Junyi1,WANG Hongyan1,YU Jiawen2(1.College of Automotive Studies,Tongji University,Shanghai 201804,China,2.Chinese-German School for Postgraduate Studies,Shanghai 200092,China) |
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| Abstract: | Based on basic concept of accident causing theory and Haddon Matrix,the road traffic safety indicator system is established with analytic hierarchy process(AHP).The final weight vector is then calculated with the least squares distance method based on the weight vectors concluded from experts' judgment matrixes.The evaluation baseline is drawn by means of clustering algorithm on the basis of the period data of the motorized countries during their first road traffic modernization.The quantitative value weigh... |
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| Keywords: | road traffic safety modernization level comprehensive evaluation analytic hierarchy process quantitative value weighted function clustering algorithm |
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