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Investors Thinking and Stock Price Excess Volatility
作者姓名:LI  Honggang
作者单位:Department of Systems Science,Beijing Normal University,Beijing 100875,China
摘    要:Muchhasbeenstudiedonreasonsoftheobservablefeaturesofstockmarketprices,suchastheirunpredictable,fluctuatingnatureandtheirirregularitytoswitchfromgenerallybulmarketpricestobearmarketpricesorviceversa.Theconventionalargumentisthattheerraticstockpricesreflectthemore-or-lessrandomnews.But,therehasbeenconcernonthesthcalled"excessvolatility",namely,somefluctuationsofthesepricemovementsmayhaveexceededwhatwouldbeexplainedbyrationalfundamentalvalueadjustmentbasedontherandomnews.Recently,theroleofpsychol…


Investors Thinking and Stock Price Excess Volatility
LI Honggang.Investors Thinking and Stock Price Excess Volatility[J].Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering,1999(1).
Authors:LI Honggang
Abstract:This paper presents a simplified dynamic model to explore the dynamic mechanism inexcess volatility of stock prices. We attempt to show how investors thinking work for explaining theobservable features of stock market Prices.
Keywords:Fundamental value  Excess volatility  Internal dynamics of investor thinking
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