| Study on risk measurement about ammunition-rocket system |
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| 作者姓名： | Gu Xiaohui & Zhao YoushouCollege of Mechanical Engineering Nanjing University of Science & Technology Nanjing P. R. China |
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| 作者单位： | Gu Xiaohui & Zhao YoushouCollege of Mechanical Engineering，Nanjing University of Science & Technology，Nanjing 210094，P. R. China |
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| 摘 要： | 1.INTRODUCTION Sincehightechnologiesandtheirindustriesareof highrisk,thedevelopmentofhi techproductsor programshasthecharacteristicsofpre investment. Generalresearchanddevelopmentneedsalongperiod oftimeduringwhichgreatrisksmayexist.Buthigh technologiesandtheirindustrieswillproducegreat socialandeconomicbenefitsbycreatingunprecedent ednewdemandsandmarketandbecometheback boneoftheindustrialstructureofnewgenerationand thepowertodrivetheeconomytodevelopinabenign way. Withthedevelopmentofm…
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Study on risk measurement about ammunition-rocket system |
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| Gu Xiaohui & Zhao YoushouCollege of Mechanical Engineering,Nanjing University of Science & Technology,Nanjing ,P. R. China.Study on risk measurement about ammunition-rocket system[J].Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics,2005,16(1). |
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| Authors: | Gu Xiaohui Zhao Youshou |
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| Institution: | College of Mechanical Engineering, Nanjing University of Science & Technology, Nanjing 210094, P. R. China |
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| Abstract: | Modern ammunition-rocket system is a complicated multidisciplinary system. During its development, undetermined factors will bring many risks. This paper elaborates the importance of risk analysis approach to ammunition-rocket system development and analyses various methods of risk analysis and estimation. Combined with practical situation of weapon system development, the risk measurement function with characteristics of risk preference is given provided that the risk preference characteristic of behavior maker is risk neutral of fixed constant. The development risk analysis based on risk measurement function enables effective risk decision to be made on the basis of quantified risk. Taking anti-helicopter intelligent mine warhead as an example, the paper verifies the efficiency of the method and shows that it has a scientific and practical value. |
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| Keywords: | risk analysis risk function ammunition-rocket system |
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