| 仿真模型置信度的决策分析方法 |
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| 引用本文： | 胡伟文,YUAN Bing-cheng,杨鹏.仿真模型置信度的决策分析方法[J].系统仿真学报,2008,20(12). |
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| 作者姓名： | 胡伟文 YUAN Bing-cheng 杨鹏 |
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| 作者单位： | 海军工程大学,湖北,武汉,430033 |
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| 基金项目： | 海军工程大学校科研和教改项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 仿真模型置信度直接影响着仿真系统的置信度和仿真试验的价值大小,因而倍受关注.基于置信区间法原理,利用模型的输出数据结合对参数区间估计的置信度与决策风险的分析,讨论了仿真模型置信度的决策分析方法.应用于水下目标辐射噪声仿真系统中的信号仿真模型,对模型置信度进行了分析,可为决策者提供辅助决策支持.
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| 关 键 词： | 仿真模型 置信度 置信区间 决策分析 |
Research on Decision-making Analysis about Simulation Model Credibility |
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| HU Wei-wen,YUAN Bing-cheng,YANG Peng.Research on Decision-making Analysis about Simulation Model Credibility[J].Journal of System Simulation,2008,20(12). |
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| Authors: | HU Wei-wen YUAN Bing-cheng YANG Peng |
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| Abstract: | Based on the confidence interval theory, the method of decision-making analysis about simulation model credibility was discussed, and decision-making risk in the process of analysis was considered. It is illustrated with application in the simulation of underwater target radiated-noise that, the method has extensive applicability and may provide auxiliary decision-making support for the development of simulating system. |
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| Keywords: | simulation model credibility confidence interval decision-making analysis |
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