灾场内、外域相结合的应急响应建模方法研究

针对某些重大突发事件应急中暴露出的效率低下问题,分析原因在于两方面：救援人员的施援能力缺乏和受灾群体自救能力不足,为此提出了一套综合利用受灾者自救能力和施救者救援能力的应急响应模型。界定了灾场内、外域系统的划分,描述了模型基本框架,分析了双方应急过程的行为特点,并利用多智能体系统描述了内、外域结合的应急行为规律,通过想定案例模拟了内、外域协同救援效果。结果表明,提出的应急救援模型能够反映突发事件内、外域协作的内在规律,对辅助决策有一定参考价值。

Modeling Method of Emergency Response based on Internal and External Areas of Disaster Zone

The insufficient ability of the rescuers and the insufficient self-rescue ability of the victims are the two main reasons of the low efficiency in some conventional event emergency. An emergency response model which combines the rescue ability and the self-rescue ability is presented. The division of the internal and the external system in the disaster field is defined, the basic structure of the model and the emergency response process characteristics are described. MAS (multi-agent system) is used to describe the law of the emergency behavior. The synergistic rescue effect is simulated through an imaginary case. The results show that the cooperative method can be used to improve the relation between the rescuers and the victims, and can effectively to support the decision-making.