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虚拟采办全寿命周期管理技术研究及应用
引用本文:王爱文,曲慧杨,周军华,柴旭东.虚拟采办全寿命周期管理技术研究及应用[J].系统仿真学报,2012,24(10):2126-2130.
作者姓名:王爱文  曲慧杨  周军华  柴旭东
作者单位:1. 北京航空航天大学经济管理学院,北京100191 中国航天科工集团公司,北京100048
2. 北京仿真中心,北京,100854
摘    要:复杂武器装备的虚拟采办是实现人员/组织、管理、技术协同工作的系统工程,其全系统、全寿命周期的各项活动需要管理全方位的支持,针对虚拟采办全寿命周期管理技术开展研究,分析并建立虚拟采办风险评价指标体系,提出基于全寿命周期费用分解结构的费用估计方法,及利用网络图建模及蒙特卡罗仿真方法的全寿命周期进度预测方法。最后,结合某航天复杂装备虚拟采办应用背景,对所提出的管理技术进行应用验证。

关 键 词:虚拟采办  全寿命周期  风险、费用、进度管理

Research and Application on SBA Life-cycle Management Technology
WANG Ai-wen,QU Hui-yang,ZHOU Jun-hua,CHAI Xu-dong.Research and Application on SBA Life-cycle Management Technology[J].Journal of System Simulation,2012,24(10):2126-2130.
Authors:WANG Ai-wen  QU Hui-yang  ZHOU Jun-hua  CHAI Xu-dong
Institution:1.School of Economics and Management,Beihang University,Beijing 100191,China; 2.China Aerospace Science & Industry Corporation,Beijing 100048,China;3.Beijing Simulation Center,Beijing 100854,China)
Abstract:SBA of complex weapon is a system engineering,which includes collaboration of personnel/ organization,management and technology.All the activities involved equipment system and of the life-cycle require the support of comprehensive management.Research on management of SBA life-cycle was introduced.An evaluation indicator system was given with the analysis of SBA risk.Based on cost breakdown structure(CBS),a method of cost estimation was proposed.Moreover,a schedule prediction method using arrow diagramming method(ADM) and Monte-Carlo simulation was provided.Finally,with the application on SBA of one aircraft,the methods were demonstrated.
Keywords:simulation-based acquisition  life-cycle  risk  cost  schedule management
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