| 人工智能背景下工业机器人发展水平综合动态评价研究——以制造业为例 |
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| 引用本文： | 李舒沁,王灏晨,汪寿阳.人工智能背景下工业机器人发展水平综合动态评价研究——以制造业为例[J].系统工程理论与实践,1981,40(11):2958-2967. |
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| 作者姓名： | 李舒沁 王灏晨 汪寿阳 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 中国科协科学技术传播中心, 北京 100012;2. 国家信息中心 经济预测部, 北京 100045;3. 中国科学院 数学与系统科学研究院, 北京 100190 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金委员会2018年应急管理项目（71843008）；中国科学院学部咨询评议项目（2019-Z10-A-018） |
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| 摘 要： | 工业机器人是一种能够自动控制，并可进行编程的机器，它也是制造业智能化改造的重要基础.从某种程度上来说，工业机器人的发展水平可以作为衡量一个国家工业自动化水平的关键要素.以十五个主要的制造业工业机器人制造、购买、使用国为研究对象，利用时序全局主成分分析方法，对各国2010-2017年的工业机器人及制造业、经济发展数据进行分析.从11个指标中提取了工业机器人发展强度、工业机器人产业需求、工业机器人经济规模效应等三个主成分，建立三维综合动态评价指标体系，对我国工业机器人的发展动态变化进行综合评价.
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| 关 键 词： | 制造业 工业机器人 综合动态评价 人工智能 |
| 收稿时间： | 2020-04-22 |
Research on the comprehensive dynamic evaluation of the development level of industrial robots in the context of artificial intelligence — Taking the manufacturing as an example |
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| LI Shuqin,WANG Haochen,WANG Shouyang.Research on the comprehensive dynamic evaluation of the development level of industrial robots in the context of artificial intelligence — Taking the manufacturing as an example[J].Systems Engineering —Theory & Practice,1981,40(11):2958-2967. |
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| Authors: | LI Shuqin WANG Haochen WANG Shouyang |
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| Institution: | 1. National Communication Center For Science and Technology, CAST, Beijing 100012, China;2. Department of Economic Forecasting, State Information Center, Beijing 100045, China;3. Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China |
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| Abstract: | The industrial robot is a machine that can be controlled automatically and programmed. It is also an important basis for the intelligent transformation of manufacturing industry. To some extent, the development level of industrial robots can be used as a key factor to measure the level of industrial automation in a country. 15 countries with manufacturing, purchasing and using industry robots are taken as research samples. Using the time-series global principal component analysis method, the data of industrial robots, manufacturing and economy of each country from 2010 to 2017 are analyzed. Three components of the industrial robot development intensity, the industrial robot industry needs and the industrial robot economic scale are extracted from 11 indexes. By using these components to construct a three-dimensional comprehensive dynamic evaluation index system, the dynamic change of industrial robots in China can be evaluated. |
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| Keywords: | manufacturing industrial robots comprehensive dynamic evaluation artificial intelligence |
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