| 碳排放权交易价格影响因素实证研究——以欧盟排放交易体系(EUETS)为例 |
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| 引用本文： | 陈晓红,王陟昀.碳排放权交易价格影响因素实证研究——以欧盟排放交易体系(EUETS)为例[J].系统工程,2012(2):53-60. |
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| 作者姓名： | 陈晓红 王陟昀 |
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| 作者单位： | 中南大学商学院 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金创新群体科学基金资助项目(70921001);教育部哲社重大攻关项目(10JZD0020) |
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| 摘 要： | 碳排放权交易是目前的研究热点之一。本文以碳排放权交易价格影响因素为研究对象,从供给、需求和市场影响三个方面进行了理论分析,并以欧盟排放交易体系为样本开展了实证研究。研究发现,受政策和制度影响的配额供给是交易价格最重要影响因素,但是随着政策与交易制度的完善,影响程度逐渐变小。原油、天然气和煤炭等能源价格也是EUA价格的主要影响因素,其中煤炭价格是最大的影响因素。风速、温度和降水等天气因素对EUA价格的影响不明显。
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| 关 键 词： | 碳排放权交易 价格影响因素 欧盟排放交易体系 |
Empirical Research on Price Impact Factor of Carbon Emission Exchange:Evidence from EU ETS |
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| CHEN Xiao-hong,WANG Zhi-yun.Empirical Research on Price Impact Factor of Carbon Emission Exchange:Evidence from EU ETS[J].Systems Engineering,2012(2):53-60. |
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| Authors: | CHEN Xiao-hong WANG Zhi-yun |
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| Institution: | (School of Business,Central South University,Changsha 410083,China) |
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| Abstract: | Carbon emission exchange becomes a research hotspot currently.Based on theoretical research,we analyze the influencing factor of carbon emission exchange price from supply,demand and market impact aspects and conduct empirical examination on the samples of EU emission trading system.Quota supply which is affected by the policies and institutions is the most important factor to explaining the exchange price.The impact gradually weakens with the improvement of polices and trading system.The prices of energy,such as crude oil,natural gas and coal,also affect the EUA price,and the coal price is the greatest influencing factor.The influence of weather factors such as wind speed,temperature and precipitation is not significant in our research. |
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| Keywords: | Carbon Emission Exchange Price Impact Factor EU ETS |
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