| 安徽出口与经济增长关系的实证分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 王宇新,郑丕谔. 安徽出口与经济增长关系的实证分析[J]. 合肥工业大学学报(自然科学版), 2006, 29(3): 354-357 |
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| 作者姓名： | 王宇新 郑丕谔 |
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| 作者单位： | 天津大学,管理学院,天津,300072;天津大学,管理学院,天津,300072 |
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| 摘 要： | 文章从增长率的角度利用协整分析技术、格兰杰因果关系检验方法以及平行数据计量经济学模型,对安徽出口与经济增长关系进行了实证分析。结果表明,安徽出口增长与经济增长之间存在着协整关系,但出口增长还不是经济增长的原因,安徽出口弹性偏高,据此对进一步加大安徽出口工作力度,增强出口对经济增长的拉动作用,提出了相关的政策和建议。
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| 关 键 词： | 经济增长 协整检验 因果关系 平行数据模型 |
| 文章编号： | 1003-5060(2006)03-0354-04 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005-03-26 |
Empirical analysis of the relationship between Anhui exports and economic growth |
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| WANG Yu-xin,ZHENG Pi-e. Empirical analysis of the relationship between Anhui exports and economic growth[J]. Journal of Hefei University of Technology(Natural Science), 2006, 29(3): 354-357 |
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| Authors: | WANG Yu-xin ZHENG Pi-e |
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| Abstract: | The relationship between Anhui exports and ecomomic growth are tested with regard to the growth rate by using co-integration techniques,the Granger causality test and the panel data econometric model.It is found that there exists a co-integration relationship between exports growth and ecomomic growth,but there is no direct causality from exports to ecomomic growth and the export elasticity is slightly high.Some policies and suggestions are put forward in order to enlarge Anhui exports and strengthen the exports-led effect on economic growth. |
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| Keywords: | economic growth co-integration test causality panel data model |
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