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迭代反馈约束下的城市轨道交通客流预测分析
引用本文:陈大伟,肖为周,李旭宏,何流.迭代反馈约束下的城市轨道交通客流预测分析[J].华南理工大学学报(自然科学版),2011,39(8):99-103.
作者姓名:陈大伟  肖为周  李旭宏  何流
作者单位:1. 东南大学交通学院,江苏南京,210096
2. 苏州大学城市轨道交通学院,江苏苏州,215021
基金项目:国家自然科学基金资助项目(50708020)
摘    要:在分析当前国内城市轨道交通客流预测存在问题的基础上,提出了基于迭代反馈约束的城市轨道交通客流预测模型框架和方法.在基础数据处理上,依据城市总体规划和轨道交通沿线控制性详细规划,通过协调总体与局部的开发强度,达到研究范围内城市人口和就业岗位的重新平衡.在模型方面,考虑到机动车车流对公交车运行的影响,对传统四阶段模型进行了...

关 键 词:城市轨道交通  客流预测  迭代反馈  四阶段模型  土地利用

Forecast and Analysis of Passenger Flow of Urban Rail Transit Under Iterative Feedback Constraints
Chen Da-wei,Xiao Wei-zhou,Li Xu-hong,He Liu.Forecast and Analysis of Passenger Flow of Urban Rail Transit Under Iterative Feedback Constraints[J].Journal of South China University of Technology(Natural Science Edition),2011,39(8):99-103.
Authors:Chen Da-wei  Xiao Wei-zhou  Li Xu-hong  He Liu
Institution:Chen Da-wei1 Xiao Wei-zhou2 Li Xu-hong1 He Liu1(1.School of Transportation,Southeast University,Nanjing 210096,Jiangsu,China,2.School of Urban Rail Transportation,Soochow University,Suzhou 215021,China)
Abstract:Based on the analyses of the existing problems in the forecast of passenger flow of urban rail transit in China,a forecast model framework and a method are proposed under the iterative feedback constraints.In the investigation,according to urban master planning and detailed regulatory planning along the railway,the basic data is processed to regain the balance between the population and the employment opportunities in the research by coordinating the development intensities of the whole and the local.Then,b...
Keywords:urban rail transit  passenger flow forecast  iterative feedback  four-stage model  land use  
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