| 出行生成预测模型的研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 刘安,杨佩昆.出行生成预测模型的研究[J].同济大学学报(自然科学版),1998,26(3):290-293. |
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| 作者姓名： | 刘安 杨佩昆 |
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| 作者单位： | 杨浦区城市规划管理局!上海，200092，杨浦区城市规划管理局!上海，200092，同济大学道路与交通工程系!上海，200092 |
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| 摘 要： | 基于居民个体出行决策行为的解释，通过周边小区势能的定义，建成了一个新的出行生成预测模型．该模型综合考虑了交通小区的社会经济发展水平、路网服务水平以及其周边小区的社会经济发展水平对出行生成的影响程度．用所建成的出行生成预测模型分析桂林市现状的居民出行生成，其结果表明该模型具有较好的精度和性能．
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| 关 键 词： | 出行生成 周边小区势能 预测模型 |
Study on Trip Generaion Forecasting |
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| Liu An, Song Weifang,Yang Peikun.Study on Trip Generaion Forecasting[J].Journal of Tongji University(Natural Science),1998,26(3):290-293. |
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| Authors: | Liu An Song Weifang Yang Peikun |
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| Abstract: | Based on the mechanism of personal trip decision behavior and the definition of sociereonomic potetiality around a traffic zone, a new trip generation forecasting model and its calibration algorithm are developed in this paper.This model demonstrates how the socioeconomic variable, traffic serving level and the socioeconomic variable around traffic zons contribute to the trip generations. Finally, an analysis of the trip generations of Guilin city is also performed, which shows that the model constructed in this paper has excellent accuray and properties. |
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| Keywords: | Trip generation Socioeconomic potentiality around Forecasting model |
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