| 房地产开发投资决策中的一种模拟方法 |
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| 引用本文： | 吴锐.房地产开发投资决策中的一种模拟方法[J].重庆大学学报(自然科学版),2002,25(3):150-153. |
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| 作者姓名： | 吴锐 |
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| 作者单位： | 重庆大学工商管理学院 重庆400044 |
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| 摘 要： | 模拟了影响房地产开发项目投资效果的主要风险因素和评价指标，通过考察风险因素波动范围的可靠度来确定风险因素的变动范围，解决了因素变量值难以获得以及风险因素变量的概率的分布不易确定的问题，克服了以往以一个点估计来评价投资收益的缺点，为房地产开发项目投资决策提供了一种较客观且可靠的方法。
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| 关 键 词： | 房地产开发 投资决策 模拟 风险 净现值 项目投资 |
| 文章编号： | 1000-582X(2002)03-0150-04 |
| 修稿时间： | 2001年9月29日 |
A Simulative Method of Investment Decision in Real Estate Development |
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| WU,Rui.A Simulative Method of Investment Decision in Real Estate Development[J].Journal of Chongqing University(Natural Science Edition),2002,25(3):150-153. |
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| Authors: | WU Rui |
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| Abstract: | This paper has simulated major risk factors and estimation indexes which influence on project investment in real estate development. It confirms the scope of risk factors by reaching it's reliability, The problems are resolved in obtaining values of factors and it's probabilistic distributing;the limitation is over come in estimating the income of investment by a point-estimation.An impersonal and reliable method of investment decision is provided in real estate development, and the result is ideal in practive test. |
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| Keywords: | simulation risk net present value investment |
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