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完善人口政策和提倡尊老爱幼代际互助家庭模式
引用本文:曾毅.完善人口政策和提倡尊老爱幼代际互助家庭模式[J].科技导报(北京),2021,39(3):130-140.
作者姓名:曾毅
作者单位:1. 北京大学国家发展研究院, 北京 100871;
2. 杜克大学老龄与人类发展研究中心, 达勒姆 27710
基金项目:国家重点研发计划项目(2018YFC2000400);国家自然科学基金项目(71490732)
摘    要: 探讨了完善人口政策和提倡尊老爱幼代际互助家庭模式的重要意义、必要性与可行性。模拟预测分析表明,让生育决策回归家庭并鼓励二孩不会造成人口失控,而有利于减缓劳动力资源萎缩、应对人口老化严峻挑战等。基于“中国老年健康调查”大样本数据的实证分析表明,三代同堂或紧邻居住模式既改善老年人健康,又增强老年父母对子女的家务协助而实现老年父母与儿女“双赢”。建议尽快实施让生育决策回归家庭并鼓励二孩,大力提倡尊老爱幼代际互助家庭模式,以促进国家发展和亿万家庭福祉。

关 键 词:人口政策  生育决策  代际互助  
收稿时间:2020-12-24

Improving population policy and promoting family patterns of respecting the aged,caring for the young and intergenerational assistance
ZENG Yi.Improving population policy and promoting family patterns of respecting the aged,caring for the young and intergenerational assistance[J].Science & Technology Review,2021,39(3):130-140.
Authors:ZENG Yi
Institution:1. National School of Development, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China;
2. Center for Studies of Aging and Human Development, Duke University, Durham, NC 27710, USA
Abstract:The present article aims to demonstrate the significance, necessity and feasibility of improving population policy as well as promoting the family pattern of respecting the aged, caring for the young and intergenerational assistance. Our scientific analyses show that the policy of returning the fertility decision-making to families and encouraging the second birth would not lead to over-growth of population. On the contrary, such policy improvements would be helpful to slow down the quick shrinking of labor resources, face the serious challenges of population ageing, and so on. Our empirical analyses on the "Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey" datasets demonstrat that family pattern of three-generations living together or living nearby may not only improve the health of the elderly but also strengthen the household assistance by older parents to their children to realize the "win-win" outcome. Based on our solid scientific research, we suggest to implement the policy of returning the fertility decision-making to families and encouraging the second birth as soon as possible. We suggest to promote the family pattern of respecting the aged, caring for the young and intergenerational assistance to facilitate national development and the well-being of hundreds of millions of families.
Keywords:population policy  fertility decision-making  intergenerational assistance  
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