| 一种新的组合预测方法及其应用 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 钟秉林. 一种新的组合预测方法及其应用[J]. 东南大学学报(自然科学版), 1989, 19(2): 1-8 |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 钟秉林 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 东南大学机械工程系 |
| |
| 摘 要： |
|
| 关 键 词： | 组合预测法 灰色模型 自回归模型 |
A New Method of Combinatorial Forecasting and Its Application |
| |
| Zhong Binglin. A New Method of Combinatorial Forecasting and Its Application[J]. Journal of Southeast University(Natural Science Edition), 1989, 19(2): 1-8 |
| |
| Authors: | Zhong Binglin |
| |
| Affiliation: | Department of Mechanical Engineering |
| |
| Abstract: | Considering the feature of social and economic system, a new method of combinatorial forecasting and its algorithm are proposed and used to forecast the newspaper circulation. The method is based on the theory of grey system and time series analysis, in which the grey model and autoregressive model are respectively used to describe the deterministic and stochastic part of data series. The results show that the method proposed is of fairly high acuracy, and is available to analyse the abstract social and ecconomic system. |
| |
| Keywords: | systems identification prediction technique parameter estimation autoregressive models newspaper and periodicals distribution/grey model combinatorial forecasting |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 等数据库收录！ |
