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Retrospect and Prospect of the Influence Diagram
作者姓名:Liu Yanqiong  Shen Yongping  Chen Yingwu
作者单位:SchoolofInformaionSystemandManagement,NationalUniversityofDefeneeandTechnology,HunanChangsha410073
基金项目:NationalScienceFoundationofChina (No .70 2 72 0 0 2 )
摘    要:The evaluation algorithm and the application of the influence diagram were surveyed, which argues that to construct an explicit,compact and objective influence diagram is of the most importance. There are two suggested ways for realization of the influence diagram: introducing the achievements of the modern psychology, cognitive science, behavior science, and so on to represent and solve uncertainty to build a well-constructed influence diagram; based on the observed data to build an influence diagram. Also, the limitations of the influence diagram were analyzed, such as that it cannot deal with asynunetric problems efficiently, cannot picture dynamic problems,cannot model the problems with a limitless horizon, and ther is no highly efficient algorithm. And some potential methods to overcome these limitations were pointed out.

关 键 词:影响图  限度  应用  DAG  心理学  认知科学  行为科学

Retrospect and Prospect of the Influence Diagram
Liu Yanqiong,Shen Yongping,Chen Yingwu.Retrospect and Prospect of the Influence Diagram[J].Engineering Sciences,2005,3(1):58-63.
Authors:Liu Yanqiong  Shen Yongping  Chen Yingwu
Institution:(School of Informaion System and Management, National University of Defence and Technology, Hunan Changsha 410073)
Abstract:The evaluation algorithm and the application of the influence diagram were surveyed, which argues that to construct an explicit, compact and objective influence diagram is of the most importance. There are two suggested ways for realization of the influence diagram: introducing the achievements of the modern psychology, cognitive science, behavior science, and so on to represent and solve uncertainty to build a well-constructed influence diagram; based on the observed data to build an influence diagram. Also, the limitations of the influence diagram were analyzed, such as that it cannot deal with asymmetric problems efficiently, cannot picture dynamic problems, cannot model the problems with a limitless horizon, and ther is no highly efficient algorithm. And some potential methods to overcome these limitations were pointed out.
Keywords:influence diagram  evaluation algorithm  application  limitation
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