煤炭自燃早期预报的模糊聚类关联分析法

针对煤炭自燃危险程度的模糊聚类分析预报法存在的不确定性，提出用关联分析法对其进行补充、修正与完善。即用模糊聚类分析法分类后，用关联分析法求待预报样本与各类之间的关联度，根据相关程度预报，将两种方法组合成模糊聚类关联分析预报法。用该法对煤炭自燃早期预测预报，不仅克服了模糊聚类单一分析预报法的不足，使定性预报转为定量预报，而且提高了预报的准确程度，为有针对性的控制煤炭自燃提供了更科学的依据。

Fuzzy gathering classification connected analysis method for early forecast of coal spontaneous combustion

In view of the uncertainty of the coal spontaneous combustion danger degree fuzzy gathering classification analysis forecasting method, we put forward the application of connected analysis method for improvement and perfection. This applies fuzzy gathering classification analysis method to classify, with the connected analysis method solving the connected degree between forecasting samples and sorts, according to connected degree forecast, combining two methods into fuzzy gathering classification connected method. Application of the method for the forecast of coal spontaneous combustion can not only overcome weak point of the fuzzy gathering classification analysis method to turn qualitative forecast to quantitative forecast, but raise forecast accuracy, providing scientific basis for controlling coal spontaneous combustion.