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用Markov链状预测方法估价岩质边坡变形发展的趋势
引用本文:秦四清,卢世宗,林韵梅.用Markov链状预测方法估价岩质边坡变形发展的趋势[J].东北大学学报(自然科学版),1990(5).
作者姓名:秦四清  卢世宗  林韵梅
作者单位:东北工学院采矿系 (秦四清,卢世宗),东北工学院采矿系(林韵梅)
摘    要:介绍了有关Markov链的基本概念及一重链状相天预测法的基本原理,根据磐石镍矿七采场二号滑体的位移观测资料,用Markov链状预测方法估价了边坡变形发展趋势。结果表明:用此预测方法估价边坡变形发展的趋势与实际边坡变形发展的趋势相吻合,可见该预测方法是有效且可行的。

关 键 词:Markov    岩移月增量  状态转移概率矩阵  预测

Appraising Rock Slope Deformation Trend by Prediction Using Markov Chain
Qin Siqing,Lu Shizong,Lin Yunmei.Appraising Rock Slope Deformation Trend by Prediction Using Markov Chain[J].Journal of Northeastern University(Natural Science),1990(5).
Authors:Qin Siqing  Lu Shizong  Lin Yunmei
Abstract:Prediction using Markov chain, as a newly prevailing method, was applied to survey the rock mass displacement in No. 7 slope, the Panshi Nickel Mine so as to appraise the rock slope deformation trend. The result indicates that the new prediction method is feasible and effective as the trend predicted corresponds to actuality. Briefly describes the Markov chain and single-overlap chain.
Keywords:Markov chain  monthly displacement increment  rock mass  matrix of state transition probability  prediction    
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