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改进Verhulst模型与灰色效果测度的软岩巷道顶板破坏规律分析
引用本文:陈建宏,郑海力,施飞,杨瑞波,蒋权.改进Verhulst模型与灰色效果测度的软岩巷道顶板破坏规律分析[J].中南大学学报(自然科学版),2011(9).
作者姓名:陈建宏  郑海力  施飞  杨瑞波  蒋权
作者单位:中南大学资源与安全工程学院湖南省深部金属矿产开发与灾害控制重点实验室;
基金项目:国家自然科学基金资助项目(50774092); 全国优秀博士学位论文专项资金资助项目(200449)
摘    要:为了对软岩巷道顶板的位移进行有效预测,防止因顶板位移过大而使得巷道破坏带来损失,利用改进Verhulst模型与灰色效果测度理论对软岩巷道顶板破坏规律进行分析。利用位移监测手段对矿山部分巷道顶板位移进行监测,利用预测精度更高的改进Verhulst模型对检测结果进行分析,得到巷道顶板的最终位移,并判断巷道破坏情况。对影响巷道顶板位移的顶板地应力、围岩质量、巷道跨度以及支护方式等因素灰色效果进行综合测量,将测度值与巷道破坏情况相结合,得到矿山各巷道顶板的宏观稳定性评价结果。研究结果表明:当灰色预测效果测度值在0~0.705 1之间时,巷道是比较稳固的,为巷道进行二次支护提供了依据。

关 键 词:软岩巷道  改进Verhulst模型  灰色效果测度  

Improved Verhulst model and gray effect measure of soft rock roof failure pattern analysis
CHEN Jian-hong,ZHENG Hai-li,SHI Fei,YANG Rui-bo,JIANG Quan.Improved Verhulst model and gray effect measure of soft rock roof failure pattern analysis[J].Journal of Central South University:Science and Technology,2011(9).
Authors:CHEN Jian-hong  ZHENG Hai-li  SHI Fei  YANG Rui-bo  JIANG Quan
Institution:CHEN Jian-hong,ZHENG Hai-li,SHI Fei,YANG Rui-bo,JIANG Quan (Deep Metal Mineral Exploitation and Hazard Control Key Laboratory,School of Resources and Safety Engineering,Central South University,Changsha 410083,China)
Abstract:In order to effectively predict soft rock roadway roof displacement,prevent the roof displacement and roadway destruction that brings about loss,the improved Verhulst model and gray effect measure theory were used to analyse the destruction rules of soft rock roadway roof.The displacement monitoring method was used to monitor displacement of part mine roadway,roof displacement monitoring and prediction Improved Verhulst model whose accuracy is higher was used to analyse the results,the finally displacement ...
Keywords:soft rock roadway  improved Verhulst model  gray effect measure  
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