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综合模拟和预测方法在工程沉降中的应用
引用本文:管志勇,田永军,戚蓝. 综合模拟和预测方法在工程沉降中的应用[J]. 合肥工业大学学报(自然科学版), 2007, 30(6): 765-768
作者姓名:管志勇  田永军  戚蓝
作者单位:天津大学,建筑工程学院,天津,300072;天津大学,建筑工程学院,天津,300072;天津大学,建筑工程学院,天津,300072
摘    要:文章尝试应用最优综合模型对常规的灰色模型(GM模型)和支持向量机模型(SVM模型)的预测结果进行优化,将综合模拟和预测方法应用于天津某高层建筑基坑开挖过程中引起周围建筑物沉降的研究,对建筑物的沉降趋势作出预测,取得了较好的拟合精度和预测可靠度,该方法对于工程施工具有重要的指导作用,也为今后同类研究提供一定的参考。

关 键 词:沉降  灰色系统  支持向量机  综合模拟  预测
文章编号:1003-5060(2007)06-0765-04
修稿时间:2006-06-27

Application of the synthesis simulation and forecasting method to the study of building subsidence
GUAN Zhi-yong,TIAN Yong-jun,QI Lan. Application of the synthesis simulation and forecasting method to the study of building subsidence[J]. Journal of Hefei University of Technology(Natural Science), 2007, 30(6): 765-768
Authors:GUAN Zhi-yong  TIAN Yong-jun  QI Lan
Abstract:In this paper,the model of optimization integration is used to optimize the forecasting results obtained by using the GM(1,1) model and the SVM-based model.This method is applied to the study of the building subsidence which is caused by foundation pit excavation of a high-rise building in Tianjin.The subsidence trend is forecast,and preferable simulation precision and forecasting reliability are obtained.The results are valuable for project construction,and this study also provides some reference for similar studies.
Keywords:subsidence  gray system  support vector machine(SVM)  synthesis simulation  forecast
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