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Precipitation variability in central Himalayas and its relation to Northern Hemisphere temperature
作者姓名:DUAN Keqin  & YAO Tandong . Cold and Arid Regions Environmental and Engineering ResearchInstitute  Chinese Academy Sciences  Lanzhou  China  . National Laboratory of Western China抯 Environmental Systems  Lanzhou University  Lanzhou  China
作者单位:DUAN Keqin1,2 & YAO Tandong1 1. Cold and Arid Regions Environmental and Engineering ResearchInstitute,Chinese Academy Sciences,Lanzhou 730000,China; 2. National Laboratory of Western China抯 Environmental Systems,Lanzhou University,Lanzhou 730000,China
基金项目:国家自然科学基金,中国科学院知识创新工程项目,国家自然科学基金 
摘    要:Agriculture, industry and hydroelectric power in south Asia are heavily dependent on the performance of the summer (June to September) monsoon rainfall, which provides 75—90% of the annual rainwater over most parts of the area. A weak monsoon year generally corresponds to low crop yields. And strong monsoon usually produces abundant crops, although too much rainfall may produce devastating floods. However, modeling efforts to forecast the monsoon have met with only moderate success1]. Prev…

关 键 词:季风降水量  喜马拉雅山脉  北半球  温度  全球变暧
收稿时间:6 June 2002
修稿时间:2003-04-07

Precipitation variability in central Himalayas and its relation to Northern Hemisphere temperature
Duan,Keqin,Yao,Tandong.Precipitation variability in central Himalayas and its relation to Northern Hemisphere temperature[J].Chinese Science Bulletin,2003,48(14):1480-1482.
Authors:Duan  Keqin  Yao  Tandong
Institution:(1) Cold and Arid Regions Environmental and Engineering Research Institute, Chinese Academy Sciences, 730000 Lanzhou, China;(2) National Laboratory of Western China’s Environmental Systems, Lanzhou University, 730000 Lanzhou, China
Abstract:A 149.8-m-long ice core was drilled at the accumulation area of Dasuopu glacier (28°23′N, 85°43′E, 7100 m a.s.l.) in the central Himalayas in 1997. The ice core was analyzed continuously for stable isotopes (δ 18O), cations (Na+, K+, Mg2+, Ca2+) and anions (Cl, SO 4 , NO 3 ) throughout the core. Cycles indicated by δ18O, cations and anions were identified and counted as seasonal fluctuations as annual increment from maximum to maximum values. Reconstructed 300-year annual net accumulation from the core reveals a major precipitation trend for the central Himalayas with an average precipitation 750 mm per year. The trend, separated from the time series, shows a strong correlation to global temperature. Generally, as northern global temperature increases 0.1δC, the accumulation decreases about 80mm and vise versa. This may suggests that monsoon precipitation in Himalayas have decreased continuously in past decade as a response to global warming.
Keywords:monsoon precipitation  Himalayas  global warming  
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