基于EPC模式的安全生产管理系统分析与仿真

针对EPC总承包模式下安全生产管理考虑设计、采购阶段不足，未能充分发挥该模式一体化、集成化优势的现状，基于安全生产管理的概念及特点，立足施工(承包) 单位的角度，耦合设计、采购环境下安全生产管理的问题，运用系统动力学理论，构建因果关系图、存量流量图，设计了一套EPC模式下的安全生产管理系统.仿真结果表明:基于系统动力学模型构建的EPC模式下安全生产管理系统，能够充分考虑设计、采购、施工各子系统内部要素，动态地反映系统内部各要素之间的联系以及安全生产管理风险变化情况，从而为EPC总承包模式下的安全生产管理决策提供参考.

Analysis and Simulation of Safety Production Management System Based on EPC Mode

In view of the current situation that the design and procurement stages are not sufficiently considered in the safety production management in the EPC general contracting mode， a safety production management system of the EPC mode for construction organization was designed by using the system dynamics theory， by structuring the cause and effect diagram and the stock flow diagram， as well as considering the design and procurement environment safety production management problems. The simulation results show that the system built based on the system dynamics model can give full consideration to each internal elements for each subsystem(design， procurement， construction) and reflect the connections between the internal factors and the change of the safety production management risk dynamically.The system is able to provide references for safety production management decision of the EPC general contracting mode.