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小相岭山系大熊猫种群生存力分析
引用本文:朱磊,吴攀文,张洪,胡锦矗.小相岭山系大熊猫种群生存力分析[J].西华师范大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2008,29(2):112-116.
作者姓名:朱磊  吴攀文  张洪  胡锦矗
作者单位:[1]西华师范大学生命科学学院,四川南充637002 [2]四川栗子坪自然保护区,四川石棉625400
基金项目:林护发([2007]188); 四川省重点学科重点资助项目(SZD0420)
摘    要:小相岭山系现存大熊猫约34只,数量稀少,且受到人为活动干扰强度较大,基因交流困难,整个种群处于濒危境地.本文运用VORTEX模型对该山系未来100a内大熊猫种群动态进行了模拟.结果表明:尽管从年龄结构上看小相岭山系大熊猫属于稳定型种群,但在考虑竹子开花和森林火灾的情况下,其近亲繁殖系数将在90a后达到1.0,该种群将于80a后灭绝.因此,对该地大熊猫采取更为有效的保护措施已经迫在眉睫.

关 键 词:大熊猫  种群生存力分析(PVA)  小相岭山系

Population Viability Analysis of Giant Pandas in the Xiaoxiangling Mountains
ZHU Lei,WU Pan-wen,ZHANG Hong,HU Jin-chu.Population Viability Analysis of Giant Pandas in the Xiaoxiangling Mountains[J].Journal of China West Normal University:Natural Science Edition,2008,29(2):112-116.
Authors:ZHU Lei  WU Pan-wen  ZHANG Hong  HU Jin-chu
Institution:ZHU Lei1,WU Pan-wen1,ZHANG Hong2,HU Jin-chu1(1.Institute of Rare , Preciaus Animals , Plants,Sichuan Key Laboratory of Environmental Science , Biodiversity Conservation,College of Life Science,China West Normal University,Nanchong 637002,China,2.Liziping Nature Reserve,Shimian 625400,China)
Abstract:Nowdays,there are only about 34 giant pandas distributed in the Xiaoxiangling Mountains.Due to the small population number and the disturbance caused by human activities,it's difficult for individual and genetic exchange.The whole population is on the verge of extinction.We use Vortex software(version 8.21) to carry on population viability analysis in attempt to model the dynamic of future 100 years.We find that the inbreeding coefficient of giant panda population in the Xiaoxiangling Mountains will reach 1...
Keywords:giant panda  population viability analysis(PVA)  Xiaoxiangling Mounains  
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