| 基于灰色马尔可夫模型的施工质量成本预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 遇华仁,周言波. 基于灰色马尔可夫模型的施工质量成本预测[J]. 黑龙江科技学院学报, 2006, 16(2): 131-134 |
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| 作者姓名： | 遇华仁 周言波 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 中国矿业大学(北京校区),管理学院,北京,100080;黑龙江科技学院,经济管理学院,哈尔滨,150027
2. 黑龙江科技学院,经济管理学院,哈尔滨,150027 |
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| 摘 要： | 针对随机波动较大的施工质量成本预测问题,结合灰色SCGM(1,1)预测模型和马尔可夫预测模型的优点,建立了灰色马尔可夫SCGM(1,1)预测模型,并以实例证明灰色马尔可夫预测模型对随机波动性较大的施工质量成本的数据列的预测,具有较高的准确性.
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| 关 键 词： | 灰色SCGM(1,1)预测 马尔可夫预测模型 质量成本 |
| 文章编号： | 1671-0118（2006）02-0131-04 |
| 收稿时间： | 2006-03-28 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006-03-28 |
Analysis of construction quality cost prediction based on grey markov model |
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| YU Huaren,ZHOU Yanbo. Analysis of construction quality cost prediction based on grey markov model[J]. Journal of Heilongjiang Institute of Science and Technology, 2006, 16(2): 131-134 |
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| Authors: | YU Huaren ZHOU Yanbo |
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| Affiliation: | 1. Management College, China University of Mining and Technology, Beijing 100080, China; 2. Dept, of Economic Management, Heilongjiang Institute of Science and Technology, Harbin 150027, China |
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| Abstract: | Aimed at the problem of prediction for the random and fluctuating of quality cost in construction,the grey markov SCGM(1,1)prediction model is given,based on combining advantages of grey system prediction model and markov prediction model.And the given example shows that the grey markov prediction model can give a higher prediction precision for the random and fluctuating data series of the quality cost in construction. |
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| Keywords: | grey SCGM(1 1)prediction markov prediction model quality cost |
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