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基于Bayes推广理论的市场预测研究
引用本文:杜飞,王志胜,杜冰.基于Bayes推广理论的市场预测研究[J].科学技术与工程,2008,8(24).
作者姓名:杜飞  王志胜  杜冰
作者单位:1. 南京航空航天大学自动化学院,南京,210016
2. 广东出入境检验检疫局,广州,510623
摘    要:Bayes方法是一种有效的预测手段,它能够把主观估计和客观估计结合起来,并能随着资料的不断增加而调整预测,使得市场预测更加精确。介绍了Bayes推广理论的基本方法,把Bayes推广理论应用于市场预测,并给出了具体的算例。

关 键 词:推广理论  市场预测

Estimation of the Market Project Based on Bayes Generalization Theory
DU Fei,WANG Zhi-sheng,DU Bing.Estimation of the Market Project Based on Bayes Generalization Theory[J].Science Technology and Engineering,2008,8(24).
Authors:DU Fei  WANG Zhi-sheng  DU Bing
Institution:DU Fei,WANG Zhi-sheng,DU Bing1(Automatic Astitution of Nanjing University of Aeronautics & Astronautics,Nanjing 210016,P.R.China,Guangdong Entry-Exit Inspection , Quarantine Bureau1,Guangzhou 510623,P.R.China)
Abstract:Bayes method provides an effective forecast way,which can connect personality and impersonality together and adjust forecast the result in time with the continuous increase in information.In this way,the investment estimation of construction project will be more and more accuracy.Bayes generalization theory is introduced and applied it in estimation of the market project,on the other hand,a example of engineering is given.
Keywords:Bayes
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