| 苹果供求关系计量模型构建及实证研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 穆维松,田东,张领先,傅泽田. 苹果供求关系计量模型构建及实证研究[J]. 农业系统科学与综合研究, 2007, 23(2): 252-256 |
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| 作者姓名： | 穆维松 田东 张领先 傅泽田 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国农业大学,北京,100083 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金;欧盟援助亚洲项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 基于预期理论,采用理论演绎与经验归纳相结合的方法,建立了反映苹果供求关系计量模型;运用相关的统计数据,对中国苹果供求关系进行了实证分析。结果表明:苹果供给和需求量受前期的影响最大;苹果加工业对苹果需求总量增长有带动作用;苹果加工量增长以及加工品价格变动并没有抑制苹果价格的下跌;另外,苹果进口量的增长已经对中国苹果价格产生了消极影响。表4,参13。
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| 关 键 词： | 苹果 供求关系 模型 |
| 文章编号： | 1001-0068（2007）02-0252-05 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006-05-08 |
The Construction and Application of a Quantitative Model on the Relation Between Apple Supply and Demand in China |
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| MU Wei-song,TIAN Dong,ZHANG Ling-xian,FU Ze-tian. The Construction and Application of a Quantitative Model on the Relation Between Apple Supply and Demand in China[J]. System Sciemces and Comprehensive Studies In Agriculture, 2007, 23(2): 252-256 |
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| Authors: | MU Wei-song TIAN Dong ZHANG Ling-xian FU Ze-tian |
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| Affiliation: | China Agricultural University, Beifing 100083, China |
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| Abstract: | Based on expectation theory and combined the theory with the experience deducting,an analyzing model on the relation between supply and demand of apple is developed in this paper.The relation between supply and demand of apple in China is analyzed with the relevant statistic data.The results show that the supply and demand of apple have most remarkable connections with their former status.The development of apple processing has positive influence on the increase of apple demand.Changes of the quantity and price of apple processing products could not resist the falling of apple price.In addition,the increased import of apple has negative influence on the price of apple in China. |
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| Keywords: | apple supply demand model relation |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
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